By Hyonhee Shin
SEOUL (Reuters) – North Korean leader Kim Jong Un has thanked South Korea’s outgoing president for trying to improve relations, a rare gesture of goodwill but one that analysts said may not be enough to head off growing tension between the two Koreas.
The warm words from North Korea to President Moon Jae-in came in an exchange of letters less than three weeks before Moon leaves office to be replaced by a conservative leader who has already signed a tougher line on North Korea
Analysts were skeptical that North Korea’s message heralded a broader improvement in relations, and warned that the praise for Moon could be a bid to portray his successor, Yoon Suk-yeol, as responsible for any further deterioration in ties.
North Korean state media was the first to report the exchange and the unexpected North Korean plaudits for the stalled effort by Moon and his liberal administration to engage.
“Kim Jong Un appreciated the pains and effort taken by Moon Jae-in for the great cause of the nation until the last days of his term of office,” North Korea’s state news agency reported.
The exchange of letters was an “expression of their deep trust”, it said.
The letters come against a backdrop of tension since a failed North Korea-US summit in 2019, exacerbated last month when North Korea launched intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBM), breaking a self-imposed 2017 moratorium.
Moon sent a letter on Wednesday and promised to try to lay a foundation for unification based on joint declarations reached at summits in 2018, despite the “difficult situation”, the North’s KCNA news agency said.
Moon’s office confirmed that he had exchanged “letters of friendship” with Kim.
Moon said the “era of confrontation” should be overcome with dialogue, and that inter-Korean engagement was now a task for the next administration, his spokeswoman, Park Kyung-mee, told a briefing. Moon also expressed hope for the swift resumption of US-North Korea denuclearization talks.
North Korea’s Kim said in his reply on Thursday that their “historic” summits gave the people “hope for the future”, and the two agreed that ties would develop if both sides “make tireless efforts with hope”, KCNA reported.
PRETEXT FOR BLAME?
The exchange came as US Special Representative for North Korea Sung Kim was in South Korea for talks. The US envoy has said he is open to sitting down with the North at any time without preconditions, but it was unclear whether Moon’s letter specifically proposed a meeting.
Analysts questioned the North’s true intentions.
“This looks more like another step in building the pretext to blame Yoon for more escalation from North Korea, rather than an olive branch to Yoon or Biden,” said Markus Garlauskas, a senior fellow with the Atlantic Council think tank and former US national intelligence. officer for North Korea.
Yang Moo-jin, a professor at the University of North Korean Studies in Seoul, said the letters could signal to Yoon that the door to inter-Korean cooperation was still open, and a potential seventh nuclear test by the North or any other future action. would hinge on the new government’s approach.
Yoon takes office on May 10. He has said that he is open to dialogue but greater military deterrence and closer ties with the United States are needed to counter the North’s “provocations”.
Tension escalated when North Korea last month conducted its first full ICBM test since 2017, and there are concerns that it is preparing to restart nuclear testing.
LEGACY AT STAKE
Moon staked his legacy on improving inter-Korean ties and helped arrange unprecedented meetings between Kim Jong Un and then US President Donald Trump in 2018 and 2019.
The three summits held by Kim and Moon in 2018 promised peace and reconciliation but relations have deteriorated, with the North warning of destructive action and demolishing facilities built by South Korean firms for joint projects.
In 2020, the North spectacularly blew up a joint liaison office on the border. Moon’s government had spent 9.78 billion won ($ 8.6 million) in 2018 to renovate the gleaming blue-glass structure.
The two leaders briefly sought to mend ties last year through exchanges of letters, but little progress has been made as Pyongyang criticized Seoul’s “double standards” over its weapons development.
North Korea’s statement left open the possibility that Moon could have a role as an envoy after he leaves office, but Christopher Green, a Korea specialist at Leiden University in the Netherlands, said it was unlikely to have a positive impact on Moon’s reputation.
The statement could stir domestic controversy in the South by portraying Moon as “a deluded peacenik who, after all the weapons tests North Korea has conducted in the last eight months, is still writing convivial letters to Kim”, Green said.
(Reporting by Hyonhee Shin; Additional reporting by Josh Smith; Editing by Stephen Coates, Gerry Doyle, Robert Birsel)